How The Business Software World Has Changed/Evolved And Where We are Headed
- Ken Larson
- Jul 6
- 2 min read
"Business software is inexorably tied to parallel developments in other areas of technology and the business software market is shifting in tandem with them.”
By Ken Larson
“As a result of the tremendous capacity built into the communications industry during the dot com boom, organizations like Google, Amazon and others offer Internet pathways with tremendous economies of scale world wide.
Corporations like IBM are capitalizing on the developments by moving from a products to a services market, building tremendous associated revenues by offering entire countries like China, for instance, a complete huge server farm and their own capability in the cloud.
This type of development is occurring as we speak all over the globe. Governments like the US are evolving their own version of private clouds. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is dramatically impacting the speed at which this is happening.
The net effect of all of this is that the fascination we see presently about terminal hardware applications will be over in the near future. The “Cloud”, SaaS and AI will rock the hardware and software world and make access to technology easier for vast populations. Devices to do so will cost pennies on the current dollar or they will be free.
Like the PC makers, the sun is already setting on cell phone devices, associated applications, OTS packaged software and related products, even though these products are enjoying current popularity. They are expensive and will be rapidly overtaken by tight economics and services competition.
Smart, strategic planners are pointing to the future and it is not a hardware and licensed software market – it is service oriented with low cost access and rates. Volume, free products, advertising and shareware will drive it all.
Possible exceptions for a bit longer period of time are the high-end hardware and software technologies in government, which for security reasons must be cloistered, protected and safeguarded. Your friendly government agency will be the last to boot its PC out the window.”
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